Erdogan’s rivalry with Israel has a new front: Africa – opinion

Turkey's deepening relationship with South Africa, exemplified by Ankara joining Pretoria's genocide case against Israel at the International Court of Justice in 2026, is part of a broader, two-decade-long Turkish expansion in Africa. This strategy involves a multi-layered approach: diplomacy, capacity-building through military academies, police training, health infrastructure, and university scholarships, followed by defense exports. Turkey's drone exports, totaling approximately $1.8 billion in 2024, have provided armed drones to 18 African militaries, while its SADAT private military contractor operates in nine African countries. This engagement aims to build local loyalty and extend Turkey's influence, with Somalia serving as a key example where Turkey has established its first overseas military base, TURKSOM, and plans offshore energy drilling. The rivalry with Israel has extended to Africa, particularly in Somalia, where Israel's recognition of Somaliland's independence directly challenges Turkish interests. President Erdogan has called Israel's recognition “illegitimate,” highlighting how Turkey's economic, military, and rivalry interests converge in Somalia. South Africa, with its ICJ credentials, acts as a prestigious validator for Turkey's African strategy, which seeks not just legal solidarity but also freedom of action on the ground.