Iran avoiding strikes on Israel over fear of Hezbollah's collapse, former intelligence officer says

Iran is reportedly avoiding direct strikes on Israel due to concerns about the potential collapse of Hezbollah in Lebanon if hostilities resume, according to retired Lt.-Col. (res.) Or Horowitz, a former head of military intelligence's Hezbollah desk. Horowitz notes a significant weakening of Hezbollah, stating, "Hezbollah is in a weaker state than ever before." This comes as the US State Department announced the initiation of activity in three "pilot zones" in Lebanon under a tripartite framework involving the US, Israel, and Lebanon. Horowitz also observes a gradual strengthening of the Lebanese Army and its increased activity against Hezbollah, supported by deep American involvement. He believes that if handled correctly, this presents "an opportunity for deep change in Lebanon," despite the risk of civil war if the Lebanese Army were to fully confront Hezbollah.