Israel, not Iran, is boxed in as Trump keeps chasing flimsy agreements

Lazar Berman is The Times of Israel's diplomatic reporterWith Iran openly targeting US soldiers and asserting its right to control the Strait of Hormuz, many believed over the weekend that US President Donald Trump had — at long last — reached the end of his rope.“US, Israel preparing to bombard energy-related targets in Iran,” CBS News declared on Saturday.Israeli outlets reported that Jerusalem was on its “highest alert,” expecting Iran to respond to the looming massive strike by hitting the Jewish state for the first time in months.But then Trump backed down once again, claiming that Iran had suddenly agreed to make far-reaching concessions its leaders have said consistently that they would never so much as consider. Tehran quickly denied this.On Gaza, too, the White House and its Board of Peace are placing all their hopes on an agreement — this one to disarm Hamas.And in Lebanon, a US-backed plan…
The article critiques US President Donald Trump's approach to Middle East conflicts, arguing that his reliance on flimsy agreements leaves Israel, not Iran, in a precarious position. Despite initial reports of impending US-Israeli strikes against Iran following missile attacks on US troops, Trump repeatedly backed down, claiming Iran had agreed to concessions, which Tehran denied. This pattern has eroded US leverage, as Iran continues to assert control over the Strait of Hormuz, believing Trump will avoid major strikes due to potential energy price hikes.
- In Gaza, Trump's administration is pursuing an agreement to disarm Hamas, which the White House claims is a "historic breakthrough." However, Hamas officials, including Moussa Abu Marzouk, have explicitly denied any agreement to surrender weapons, stating, "never happened, not for a single moment did we talk about the surrender of weapons."
- Israel remains skeptical, noting that while the deal mandates the handover of heavy weapons and tunnels, the fate of light weapons is less clear, potentially allowing Hamas to pressure a new Palestinian government.
- A US-backed plan in Lebanon aims to disarm Hezbollah, but the central government lacks the capability or will to enforce it, and Hezbollah shows no signs of abandoning its weapons.
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