Putin prepares to escalate Ukraine war with draft surge, attacks targeting NATO – report

Russian President Vladimir Putin is reportedly preparing to escalate the war in Ukraine following recent State Duma elections, according to Western intelligence sources. This escalation is expected to involve a surge in military drafts, accelerated mobilization, and intensified strikes against Ukraine and its European allies. Despite significant casualties and a perceived stalemate, Putin is opting for escalation over peace talks, leading to fears among European defense officials of potential incursions into NATO territory. CIA Director John Ratcliffe reportedly warned Russia against attacking NATO members during a recent visit to the Kremlin.

• European leaders have noted an increase in Russian "hybrid operations" within Europe, including cyberattacks, sabotage, and information warfare. Germany's Foreign Minister Johann Wadephul stated, "It fits into a broader pattern of Russian hybrid operations in Europe."
• Ukrainian intelligence suggests Russia is prepared to call up tens of thousands of additional soldiers through forced mobilization. Analyst Max Bergmann described this as a "huge gamble for Putin, a bet that could put himself and his regime at risk."
• The US is considering a significant withdrawal of troops and military assets from Europe, with President Donald Trump citing a desire for greater loyalty and burden-sharing from NATO allies.
• In response, several European nations are increasing their military strength and defense budgets, with Germany aiming to build Europe's strongest conventional army.