The global reach of a renewed war in Gaza

Diplomatic efforts to end the regional war launched by Hamas with its Oct. 7, 2023 pogrom in southern Israel have now returned to the place where it all started. Last week, the Board of Peace, the multinational body created by the Trump administration, announced its plan for implementing and solidifying the ceasefire that ended hostilities in the Palestinian enclave last October.The heart of the plan revolves around the disarmament of Hamas and allied terrorist groups. Everything else, including the withdrawal of the Israel Defense Forces, is pegged to the surrender of the terrorists’ weapons.Its ultimate goal is the creation of a Gaza with “One Authority, One Law, One Weapon” as its organizing principle. The board’s plan makes very clear that Hamas should possess no authority, should not decide the law and should control no weaponry.Yet this is a plan whose merits will be judged not on the soundness of its…
A renewed war in Gaza is likely, with significant global political implications, according to a JNS analysis. The Board of Peace, a multinational body, has proposed a plan for a ceasefire, aiming for "One Authority, One Law, One Weapon" in Gaza, which necessitates Hamas's disarmament. However, Hamas is unlikely to cooperate, preferring to amend proposals and leverage its control of Gaza and its weapons. The article suggests that only the IDF can compel Hamas's submission, as the proposed International Stabilization Force is lightly armed and focused on aid and training.
"Rarely has a foreign conflict with virtually no impact on people’s livelihoods...exercised such sway over domestic politics."
A new round of fighting would amplify anti-Israel sentiment, particularly in Western democracies with Jewish communities and pro-Hamas movements. This has already led to increased antisemitism and violence against Jews globally. The article concludes that Israel must prioritize its citizens' safety and the state's survival, despite potential international backlash.
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