The U.S.-Iran War Cannot End Without U.S. Pressure on Israel in Lebanon

When the United States and Iran published the initial Memorandum of Understanding (MOU) meant to halt the months-long war initiated by the U.S. and Israel, its first article called for a “permanent termination of military operations on all fronts, including in Lebanon.” It was a term acceptable to the Trump Administration, but not its co-belligerents in the conflict. Israeli Defense Minister Israel Katz summed up this dynamic on June 24, proclaiming that “we are not retreating” from Lebanon, “even if…
The U.S.-Iran Memorandum of Understanding (MOU), intended to end the U.S.-Israel initiated war, faces significant challenges due to Israel's refusal to cease military operations in Lebanon. Despite the MOU's first article calling for a "permanent termination of military operations on all fronts, including in Lebanon," Israeli Defense Minister Israel Katz stated, "we are not retreating" from Lebanon, "even if there is an American demand." This stance, driven by Israel's perceived existential threat from Hezbollah and its post-October 7, 2023, actions, has led to continued strikes and a refusal to allow the return of displaced Lebanese, which the article describes as potential war crimes. While there are indications of rhetorical pressure from the U.S., including Vice President JD Vance's criticisms of Israeli leadership, the article argues that rhetoric alone is insufficient. It suggests that the U.S. executive branch should use its authority to end arms sales and aid to Israel, citing sections of the Foreign Assistance Act and the Arms Export Control Act, to ensure U.S. interests are prioritized over Israeli actions that go against them. However, the article notes that such material pressure is unlikely under the current U.S. administration, which it characterizes as pro-Israel, and that congressional efforts to block arms sales have historically been unsuccessful.
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