Why lessons learned on October 7 prevent Israeli withdrawal from Syria – analysis

Following the ousting of Bashar Assad in December 2024 by Syrian President Ahmed al-Sharaa, Israel swiftly implemented policies based on lessons from October 7, leading the IDF to enter Syria, destroy military assets, and establish a buffer zone in southern Syria to prevent hostile forces from nearing the Golan Heights. This buffer zone, along with similar ones in Gaza and southern Lebanon, is viewed by Israel as a crucial security measure, reflecting a post-October 7 shift in doctrine towards creating physical depth against threats. However, the US, particularly President Donald Trump, views Israel's presence in Syria as a problem, urging withdrawal to allow Sharaa to consolidate power. Trump reportedly told Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, "They don't want you there. You should redeploy." Israel remains skeptical, prioritizing sustained proof of Syria's fundamental change over years, not just words, and is wary of Turkey's growing influence in the region. With elections three months away, Netanyahu is unlikely to withdraw, as it could be perceived as weakening Israel's security.