The illusion of peace with Tehran

The article discusses the ongoing challenges in U.S. negotiations with Iran, suggesting that a lasting solution may require regime change rather than diplomatic agreements. U.S. Vice President JD Vance acknowledged difficulties in talks and warned that some hardliners prefer war. The piece highlights Iran's strategic leverage through the Strait of Hormuz, which allows it to exert significant economic and geopolitical pressure. However, it cautions against assuming military pressure alone will lead to regime change, emphasizing that a revolution requires the Iranian people to rise up and gain access to means of resistance, coupled with security forces refusing to act against them. The article notes that the current regime has a strong repressive apparatus, unlike the situation in 1979. It concludes that an agreement risks being merely a "diplomatic victory for appearances’ sake" if the repressive system remains in power, urging Washington to choose between continued negotiations with an unpredictable regime or recognizing that stability through an agreement is an illusion.