When pain is not persuasion
Both America and Iran say they are winning the war. But as part of the conversation, they are measuring different realities while Israel lives in the gap.
The article discusses the differing perspectives of America and Iran regarding the ongoing conflict, with Israel caught in the middle. Both Washington and Tehran claim victory, but they measure success by different metrics. The author argues that a fundamental misunderstanding exists in the Western model of persuasion, which assumes all parties operate based on negotiable "interests" rather than non-negotiable "obligations."
- The article highlights that while interests can be traded or coerced, obligations, which are deeply held beliefs or duties, cannot be bought off or surrendered without being seen as a transgression.
- Economic pressure, for instance, may not persuade an ideological adversary but instead confirm their belief that the opponent seeks their destruction.
- The author suggests that leverage can contain or delay an obligation, buying time, but it cannot ultimately end it.
- True resolution of an obligation, as seen with eliminationist doctrines of the past century, often requires force and subsequent reconstruction, actions beyond the scope of negotiation.
The core diagnostic question is whether the other side is protecting an interest or an obligation, as this determines whether negotiation can lead to a lasting resolution or merely a temporary suspension.
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