Iran sees strategic advantage, Trump seeks to avoid more war, former Israeli security official says
Avner Vilan said Tehran believes its control of the Strait of Hormuz and ability to survive heavy damage would allow it to keep pressuring the region even after US strikes.
Former Israeli security official Avner Vilan stated on 103FM that Iran perceives itself to be in a position of strategic advantage due to the United States' desire to avoid a broader conflict. Vilan noted, "The Iranians have a sense of victory. They control the Strait of Hormuz, and nobody has done anything to them. Their strategy is working." He added that Tehran believes President Trump is unwilling to engage in another major war, leading them to take greater risks. Vilan also suggested that even if militarily defeated, Iran aims for regime survival and continued regional influence. Meanwhile, a Wall Street Journal editorial criticized Trump's decision to halt military escalation in the Persian Gulf, citing his social media post about an alleged agreement with Iran regarding the Strait of Hormuz and nuclear program. Reports from Saudi Arabia indicated that Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman urged de-escalation due to concerns about attacks on oil facilities, suggesting Iran is dictating the regional agenda.
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